You can ignore the YouGov/Economist polls

A new one came out. Yet again, they minimize the support for Bernie.

Why can you ignore it? Well, read the methodology on the final page:

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/799kgtotz3/econTabReport.pdf

Sampling method

Respondents were selected from YouGov’s opt-in Internet panel using sample matching. A random sample (stratified by gender, age, race, education, and region) was selected from the 2014 American Community Study. Voter registration was imputed from the November 2014 Current Population Survey Registration and Voting Supplement.

Weighting

The sample was weighted based on gender, age, race, education, and 2016 Presidential vote (or non-vote). The weights range from0.304 to 3.276, with a mean of one and a standard deviation of 0.37.

A number of issues stand out:

– "opt-in" which immediately invalidates any poll in my opinion in the current climate. Where do they get the voters to opt in? Where do they advertise? Too many questions just on this point alone.

– weighted based on… 2016 PRESIDENTIAL vote. Yeah, the vote where Bernie's base had to hold their nose if they voted at all.

Polling has never been more inaccurate than in this cycle. It has never been more controlled by parties connected to the establishment, and never more intended to control the narrative.

submitted by /u/harcile to r/SandersForPresident
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